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Saturday, March 31, 2007

What are Barrier Options?

Barrier options are a type of exotic options, in which the payoff demands reaching or crossing of a barrier (predetermined price) by the underlying product. They include call options and put options, and are similar to common options in many respects. Barrier options become active/inactive when the underlying product crosses the barrier.

Barrier options can be grouped into two as knock-in options and knock-out options. Knock-in barrier options are inactive options at the beginning, but become active when the barrier reaches. On the other hand Knock-out options starts as active but become inactive on reaching the barrier. Many barrier options carry rebates, which are paid off to the holder on reaching the barrier.

Barrier options are available in both European and American forms. In barrier options trading, premiums are paid in advance. Barrier options come in 8 flavors like up & out, up & in, down & out, and down & in. Of these eight flavors 4 are reverse barrier options, which when in-the-money knock-in or knock-out. Barrier options include single barrier, double barrier, partial time barrier and Parisians options.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Friday, March 30, 2007

History of Futures Trading

The trading of commodities has begun centuries ago, with the first signs of civilization. The modern type of futures trading marked its presence in 18th, according to some 17th, century in Japan and in Holland or grains such as rice and wheat.

The organized way of futures trading, with well formed contracts, started in Chicago, USA in early 1840s. The first centralized futures trading market, the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, was established in 1948. This board has standardized the terms, delivery time and the quantity per contract of the futures. The product traded, until 1970s, through futures markets include agricultural commodities (wheat, rice, oats, etc), metals (silver, gold, etc) and energy products (crude oil, natural gas, etc).

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), established in 1919, introduced financial futures for the first time in 1971 with the abolition of currency gold standards. Now financial futures are the most traded type of all futures and it also paved the path for other futures types like interest futures and index futures. In 1987, again CME, introduced electronic trading for futures, which have revolutionized the futures trading practice with the global access.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Difference between Spot and Futures Forex Trading

Spot trading and futures trading are the most important forex trading types. They are virtually opposite to one another. Spot forex trading is the ‘on the spot’ trading and futures forex trading is the contract for trading the currency in somewhere near future. In simple, spot trades are done for actual currency deliveries usually with in two days and futures traders are done for a delivery/purchase usually after 3 months.

Spot forex trading, also known as cash trading, is done against the market volatility to make profit. On the other hand futures forex trading is done for hedging market volatility to cover the loss. Spot trades usually have penalties on failing the delivery on time. Although spot trades have a two day delivery date, by closing and opening the spot positions repeatedly, one can increase the delivery date, almost to infinity.

Futures forex trades are credited with interest, where interest for spot trading depends on the opening and closing time interval; if less than one day (mostly for forex day traders) no interest. At last remember the future contracts which expire within 30 days are also known as sport contracts, because of the nearness of the delivery time.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Weekly Stock Market Information Newsletter, March 26

The Week Ahead: As the markets approach the possibility of another market peak, much attention this week will be paid to a broad list of economic reports starting with Monday's new home sales for February. Tuesday brings the March consumer confidence index. Wednesday, the durable goods report and weekly crude oil and gasoline inventories come out. Thursday, the final 4th quarter GDP, 4th quarter corporate profits report, and weekly jobless claims are released. The week concludes with personal income and spending numbers along with the construction spending for February.

Stocks to Watch: Genentech (DNA) weakened sharply when the company warned of flat 1st quarter sales. Shares of Imclone Systems (IMCL) rose sharply on news that Amgen halted the study of cancer drug Vectibix which competes with Imclone's Erbitux. Jabil Circuit (JBL) is forecasting a drop in 3rd quarter profits, possibly losing money. Shares of Synnex Corp. (SNX) surged on strong 1st quarter profits and optimistic 2nd quarter numbers. Finally, Kraft Foods (KFT) will be added to the S&P 500 after trading on Friday.

Special Note: The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all sport downside gaps left open from the opening of trading on February 27. They are 12,608, 1,445, and 2,492 respectively. These gaps could be filled before the current short term upswing in stocks is complete but is not a requirement before a new sell off begins. In fact a failed attempt to fill these gaps would more likely indicate a much weaker market than most market pundits surmise. Traders should stay alert for a reversal soon and look to go net short or raise cash quickly.

Commentary provided by Barry Ward, Registered Principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

To view all of NobleTrading's historical newsletters, click here.

Click here to open an account.
NobleTrading Direct Access Trading

email: info@nobletrading.com
phone: 877.872.3311
web: http://www.nobletrading.com

Monday, March 26, 2007

What is a Margin Call or Maintenance Call?

Margin calls - also known as maintenance calls, fed calls and house calls, are brokers’ calls to deposit more money to a trader’s margin account or to sell off the a few equities/assets that the trader own. Margin calls are generated by brokers under some specific situations when a trader’s equity balance in his/her account falls shorter to the margin requirement of the brokerage firm.

The need of a margin call often arises when the prices of the securities, which a trader possesses by burrowed money from the broker, fall rapidly. The other major factor, which controls this scenario is the maintenance margin of the broker; the lesser the maintenance requirement the lesser the chance of margin call.

All margin calls give you a limited time for depositing more money or equity. If the trader does not responds to the margin call of fail to deposit, the broker have the right to sell off the assets, regardless of type, size or market position, owned by the trader to increase his or her account equity to the required level. As per margin agreements of many brokers, they are empowered for selling of the trader’s securities with out any waiting of the trader’s response.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

What is Ask and Bid Trading?

Ask and Bid is the trading procedure followed in Over-The-Counter markets like OTCBB and Pink Sheet markets. It contradicts the auction bid trading method followed by traditional stock markets. Ask and bid trading method allows bargaining and thus can favor both the trader and the market maker.

Ask and bid type of trading is carried out on phone or via a computer network and requires a broker dealer network for direct interaction. The general procedure of ask and bid trading is as follows. The trader places the order, for the stock he wants to buy, with a specified price to the broker offering his trading account. The broker contacts the market maker issuing that stock and negotiates with the market maker for the price. If the negotiation is a success then the stocks are transferred to the trader’s account.

Recently NobleTrading introduced direct access trading for OTCBB and Pink Sheet markets. In this the trader can directly interact with the market maker without any broker assistance to get his quotes. The advantage of ask and bid trading system is the bargaining ability. This is the reason why many OTCBB listed companies qualified for NYSE have choose to remain in OTCBB market.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Friday, March 23, 2007

What is Value Investing?

Value investing is one another trading strategy used by stock traders to profit from stock markets. In value investing, the trader selects stock having strong fundamental merits such as good past earnings, book value, dividends and cash flow.

The traders following value investing strategy usually targets stocks from those companies, which are underestimated or undervalued by the markets. They buy these company stocks with the hope of a market correction in the near future. The most important and stressful step in value investing is the identification of good company stocks having lower prices. Most people following value investing strategy are either long-term investors or peoples wants to become a share holder of the company. They do not often respond to the market fluctuations or other such external factors.

Value investors own stocks from all major stock exchanges and often targets stocks (value stocks) from industries which have fallen recently. They follow a strict stock screening procedures based on intrinsic worth, P/E ratio, book value, assent to liability ratio, etc to find tradable companies/stocks.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Thursday, March 22, 2007

Types of Stock Charts

A stock chart is a 2D method of representation of upward/downward trends for a particular stock or stock market. There are mainly three types of stock charts as high-low-close charts, open-high-low-close charts and candlestick stock chats.
  • In a high-low-close stock chats, values are represented as a set of symbols, which are grouped into a category. These symbols provide the high, low values of the vertical line and the position of the horizontal line (close).
  • In Open-high-low-close stock charts the close value determines the right horizontal line position and open value determines the left horizontal line position.
  • A candlestick stock chart is the horizontal lines representing open and close values are replaced by rectangles to provide the range between the above values.
All the above three types of stock charts are pretty useful for trading purpose. The choice can be made based upon the trading strategy, account position and type of trading platform you are having.

This information is provided by
NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Day Trading Products Available

Day traders can trade a variety of different products from various markets trading stocks, options, futures, forex currencies etc. But apart from these traditional products there are many derivates of these products are also available. Below is a brief summery of various types of products available for day trading.
  • Option features for owning/selling a features contract.
  • Stock options for owning/selling underlying stocks of companies.
  • Currency features for all major currencies like Euro, Pound, etc.
  • Stock features that are based on stock market indexes.
  • Commodity features which are available for many energy, agricultural and metal commodities.
In United States, because of restrictions placed by SEC, the day trading of stocks can only be done by traders who have deposited at least $25,000 on their accounts. According to these rules a trader who completes four or more traders within 5 business days is considered as a day trader; he/she must fulfill the above condition, other ways banned from trading for 90 days.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Weekly Market Review Letter March 19 , 2007

The Week Ahead: Much of the focus this week will be on the Tuesday and Wednesday Federal Reserve meeting which will determine interest rate policy over the near term. With the latest up-tick in consumer inflation combined with other conflicting inflation signals like the weak housing sector, the Fed will probably keep interest rates steady. Other noteworthy reports include Wednesday's leading economic indicators for February and Thursday's existing home sales for the same month.

Stocks to Watch: Shares of Accredited Home Lenders (LEND) have rebounded as the company said that it will sell $3 billion in loans to an undisclosed buyer, and Fremont General (FMT) also rallied but announced it will delay its 10-K Filing. Both companies are involved in sub-prime loan practices. Hewlett Packard (HPQ) announced an $8 billion buyback of its shares but beware of recent insider selling. Wells Fargo (WFC) rebounded after First Data (FDC) said it would buy its Instant Cash Services unit. FC Stone Group (FCSX) had a strong IPO debut on Friday.

Special Note: The sub-prime lending crisis is potentially the leading edge of a much broader unraveling of debt starting with high risk loans on down. As lenders practice more stringent requirements in giving out loans do to the perceived risk of default, ultimately this contributes to the slowing of economic activity leading to recession as the dominoes fall. Another concern is the record amount of NYSE margin debt which recently exceeded the previous all time high of March 2000 when the major indexes topped. Continue a defensive investment strategy.

Commentary provided by Barry Ward, Registered Principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

To view all of NobleTrading's historical newsletters, click here.

Click here to open an account.

NobleTrading Direct Access Trading

email: info@nobletrading.com
phone: 877.872.3311
web: http://www.nobletrading.com

Monday, March 19, 2007

Features of a Good Forex Charting Software

As all you may know, the compatibility of forex software depends on the charting information it provides, the advancements in triggers and alerts tools and easy in delivering market news. This blog will concentrate on the charting capabilities of a good forex currency trading software.

A good forex charting software must have the following features.
  • Easy to read charts. The user must be able to customize the layout and color of the charts as his requirements.
  • The customizable ability must not be temporary. That is the user must get it on next time he runes it.
  • Speed in loading charts. Remember that demo forex softwares may be a bit slow.
  • The user must be able to mark and write on the charts. And they must be stay as long as he needed.
  • Have enough technical indicators to be plotted on charts.
  • Programming capability. The forex trader should be able to program the software as per his needs.
  • Historical and intraday charts. That is the software must provide access to a good data source.
This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Saturday, March 17, 2007

Using of Options Greeks to Trade Options

As discussed earlier, options Greeks provides useful (in fact most import) information about options. Most options trading systems available today provides normalized values for these Greeks. Normalized Greeks are values that are normalized to dollars by multiplying with the contract multiplier (usually 100).

The Delta Greek directly provides the information of profit/loss you can have with rise/fall in price of underlying product by one dollar. Remember that the Delta option Greek for call options is positive and put options is negative. Gamma Greek is always a positive value and can be used to predict option value, by predicting the Delta.

The Theta Greek is important for all types of traders as time is the most powerful deciding factor of the option value. Traders want to own options have to purchase long-term contracts, in other way vice versa. The Vega Greek can be different to different options and affects both call and put options in the same way.

Using of options Greeks may be bit difficult for beginners. But once you understand them and start to use you can benefit a lot from them. Once you master them you can find more profit making chances by combining them with risk graphs and market news.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Friday, March 16, 2007

What are Options Greeks?

Options Greeks are characters derived using strict mathematical formulae for understanding/predicting price changes of individual or group of options. They are know as Greeks because they are represented in Greek letters, Delta (δ), Gamma (γ), Vega, Theta (θ) and Rho (P). Each option Greek uses different formula and provides different information.

  • Delta – measures the change in option price with the increase or decrease of every dollar in the underlying product price.
  • Gamma – measures the rate of change of the delta value with each increase or decrease of every dollar in the underlying product price.
  • Theta – measures the change in option price with the passing of each day. The value increases with days for at-the-money options and decreases with days for out-of-the money option.
  • Vega – measures the change in option price with the increase or decrease of volatility of the underlying asset. The value is often greater for at-the-money options than out-of-the-money options.
  • Rho – measures the change in options price with the increase or decrease in the risk free interest rate.
Today, almost all good options trading systems are integrated with options Greeks but the quality of information they provide depends on the model used for calculate them. (Next : Using of Option Greeks to Trade Options)

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Paper Trading Futures – A Guide

As discussed earlier, paper trading is the trading without real money. Unlike other trading fields, futures and commodity paper trading require special attention because of the diversity of markets.

Many futures trading brokers offer you free paper trading account with a hypothetical trading account, with usually the amount you choose. Using this account you can trade various futures markets trading oils, gases, grains, meats, metals etc. The major factor determining your trading ability to various markets is the money in your account.

If you are a proposed small-scale trader with a paper trading account of around $10,000 you can easily trade Wheat, Corn, Sugar, certain meat markets etc. If you want to trade metals and minerals, you may need a slightly bigger paper trading account. And if you are interested in trading crude oil, natural gas, etc you will need larger accounts, not less than with $25,000.

Although you can trade any number of markets you want, it is advised to limit the number around 5 for easy in tracking the market status and charts. Remember, many futures brokers only offer paper trading for e-mini futures for at least $50,000 accounts. Finally from what ever account you are trading, you must monitor your trades and charts day by day using one real futures trading software.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

What is a Market Maker?

A market maker is a broker dealer or bank, who is always ready to buy and sell stocks from and to traders respectively. By doing so they make the market alive for all traders; other wise you have to find a buyer yourself if you want to sell a stock. Although the role of market marker is to increase the liquidity of every market, their practices may differ with various markets.

NYSE and AMEX have only of market maker, the specialist, who is granted with many special trading advantages. NASDAQ have over 500 market makers obligated to buy and sell, who usually does not have any trading advantages but are permitted to sell without a burrow (naked shorting). In over-the-counter (OTC) markets the importance of market makers are the highest, as they are primarily responsible for trading of stocks. Unlike other market markets OTC market makers negotiate stock price with traders or their brokers, and ensures their profit. There may be more than one OTC market maker trading the same stock.

The profit of market makers, other than OTC market markers, comes from very small spread between ask and bid prices. The price differences may be very minute, but transacting large numbers of securities, they manage to profit reasonably.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Weekly Stock Market Letter March 12, 2007

The Week Ahead: The unemployment rate dropped to 4.5% lifting the spirits of some nervous bulls as the markets recovered from a late February collapse, but the 97,000 jobs created are not enough to offset the 150,000 jobs needed for new workers each month. Economic reports to watch this week are the retail sales figures and business inventories release on Tuesday, and crude oil and gasoline inventories on Wednesday. Later this week, Thursday's PPI and Friday's CPI numbers will provide a measure of inflation in the economy.

Stocks to Watch: CVS Pharmacy (CVS) sweetened its competing bid with Express Scripts (ESRX) to buy Caremark Rx (CMX) as shareholders contemplate an upcoming vote on March 16. Jones Soda (JSDA) announced a pact to sell products at Wal-Mart, Safeway, and Kroger stores. Shares broke out to the upside on the news. Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) sunk on a worse than expected earnings report and a dim outlook for the 2007 housing market. Shares of Vonage Holdings (VG), despite having just gone public last May, have collapsed as the company lost a patent infringement case brought by Verizon (VZ).

Special Note: The markets rise last week was largely a response to the extreme short term oversold condition that developed in just one week in late February and early March. Going forward, look for a re-test of those lows possibly later this month or next. If the 12,039 level on the DOW is broken, then the old high area between 11,750 and 11,500 would be the next area of possible support. Bullish investors and traders could raise cash during this market rebound and wait for future opportunities to develop. The bears on the other hand will likely be shorting stocks as the rallies mature or creating net short positions in a hedged portfolio.

Commentary provided by Barry Ward, Registered Principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

To view all of NobleTrading's historical newsletters, click here.

Click here to open an account.
NobleTrading Direct Access Trading

email: info@nobletrading.com
phone: 877.872.3311

web: http://www.nobletrading.com

Monday, March 12, 2007

Calculating Profit and Loss in Forex Currency Trading

Forex currency market is not as volatile as stock markets. Online Currency trading market fluctuates mainly with global and regional changes such as natural calamities, leadership changes of nation etc. It is quite common that increasing or decreasing of value of one currency, such as US dollar or Euro, triggers a cycle of events affecting value of most other currencies.

In forex currency market, the profit or loss calculation involves a simple mathematical rule. According to this rule the increase or decrease, from the date of buying, in the exchange rate of the right side currency (BBB in AAA/BBB) determines the profit/loss. If BBB currency increases in value against AAA, then you will receive profit, if reverse loss. The magnitude of increase/decrease of BBB’s value is your magnitude of profit/loss.

Example : You are trading the currency pair USD/EUR. You bought 100,000 EUR at 0.7511. Now the price of EUR is 0.6511 and you want to sell them. According to the rule you will receive a profit of $10,000 [(0.7511-0.6511) x 100,000]. If the value decreased below 0.7511 you will have to suffer loss.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

Finding Stock Market Trends

Easy and accuracy in finding stock market trends is the key factor that differentiate a successful trader from a common trader. Although there are a number of trading systems available in market with lot of indicators, it is ultimately our brain that must take decisions.

The major variables, that can be used for find our stock market trends, are the price change and trading volume change. The trading systems you use can help you in finding both values for specific stocks or market as a whole. A wise method to determine the price trend of individual stocks is to compare the price changes in different markets, like Nasdaq, NYSE and S&P 500. The changes in trading volume in the same market or between markets for a period of time also provide a brief idea about the future market trend.

High price and volume usually indicates upward trend and low price and volume indicates downward trend. High volume with low price usually indicates downward trend, because more traders are selling the stocks they own. High price with low trading volume indicate that the stock is in an uncertain condition, and most investors are scared of touching them.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Friday, March 9, 2007

What are Technical Indicators or Technicals?

Technical indicators or technicals are special mathematical formulas used for analyzing and predicting market trends. They are used extensively by short-term traders like day traders and swing traders to find right stocks to trade.

Technical indicators give results by evaluating and comparing present and past price patterns for individual stocks. They do not utilize any company data, like profit and increase/decrease in company income, for this purpose. That is why technical indicators are less useful for position traders and other long-term investors. But they are useful in finding entry and exit points for all sorts of traders.

Technical indicators can be classified in to two as “Trend indicators” and “Oscillators or Momentum indicators”. Trend indictors are technical indicators primarily based on price performance. On the other hand momentum indicators also take trading volume in to account. Some popular technical indicators are money flow index, relative strength index, MACD, Stochastics and Bollinger bands. Today many types of trading systems are available incorporated with technical indicators. Advanced systems offer more customizing features and faster results.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Thursday, March 8, 2007

Problems with OTCBB & Pink Sheet Stocks?

Although both OTCBB and Pink Sheet stocks include stocks of really good companies trying to make their listings in major stock markets, are also have stocks of really bad companies delisted from major markets and on the verge of bankruptcy. Below are some problems in trading OTC stocks.
  • No/simple Minimum Requirements : Pink Sheet companies does not have to meet any minimum requirements, where OTCBB companies have to meet some simple requirements.
  • Lack of Information : some companies even hide their present status from public.
  • No proper Financial History : many companies are new ones.
  • Low Liquidity Level : making selling of purchased stocks very difficult.
  • Price Manipulation : a single broker can perform so.
  • False/Promotional Advertisements : through all sorts of media to highlight a bad company or saying that all top companies are once penny stock companies.
The broker assisted trades with slow pace and lack of real-time market information can even worse the scenario. As an investor if you really want to trade these OTC markets, make sure that you know the company and the information you received about it is from a reliable source.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

Difference Between OTCBB and Pink Sheet Stocks?

Both OTCBB and Pink Sheet markets are used to trade stocks usually of small companies. Although both OTCBB and Pink Sheet stocks are traded Over-the-Counter (OTC), both markets differ in many aspects.

There are mainly two types of companies whose stocks are traded in OTCBB market. They are the companies delisted from major stock exchanges and small companies failing to meet listing requirements of major stock exchanges. The delisting of companies takes place when they fail to meet listing requirements and are usually under financial crisis. The second type of companies is really good for investing and once they attain the listing requirements, they can easy move into major exchanges. Although finding a place in OTCBB market is easy for most companies, they still have to maintain some minimum requirements.

On the other hand companies having Over-the-Counter stocks traded though Pink Sheet market does not need to meet any minimum requirements. Pink Sheet Companies are usually every small or companies want to hide their financial status from public. Most of the stocks offered by these companies come under the criteria penny stocks.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

Stock Market Newsletter, March 05 2007

The Week Ahead: The steep decline in the major market averages marked the worst week in 4 years and has ushered in a new season of high volatility. If the public mood sours, the likelihood of recession increases. The 4th quarter productivity and cost numbers along with January factory orders are due out Tuesday. The Fed beige book of economic activity is released Wednesday while the weekly jobless claims figures are out on Thursday. The week will end with a closely watched February employment report combined with the wholesale and international trade numbers for January.

Stocks to Watch: American International Group (AIG) had impressive 4th quarter results, was upgraded despite missing estimates, and will buy back up to $5 billion of its stock in 2007. Kohl's Corp. (KSS) reported a 29% profit increase as its stock rebounds from an oversold condition. Palm Inc. (PALM) shares are rising on takeover speculation by either Nokia (NOK) or Motorola (MOT). Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) looks poised to bounce from an oversold level after it showcased a single-system Accelerated Computing platform.

Special Note: The larger technical picture for the year 2007, in addition to the marked increase in volatility, shows a 3.3 year cycle that is due to bottom in a year. This cycle is important as it follows on the heels of the 4 year cycle low that was due in 2006 but was only mild. This makes it the dominant cycle and should be much more severe. A similar occurrence developed in 1986,1987 and 1906,1907 when despite a usually bullish pre-election year the market corrected over 40% in the "7" year after only a mild set back in the "6" year. 1937 was also a similarly harsh "7" year. Investors should stay diversified with off-setting hedges where applicable.

Commentary provided by Barry Ward, Registered Principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

To view all of NobleTrading's historical newsletters, click here.

Click here to open an account.

NobleTrading Direct Access Trading



email: info@nobletrading.com
phone: 877.872.3311
web: http://www.nobletrading.com

Monday, March 5, 2007

How to use a Currency Day Trading System?

All forex currency traders need a trading system. But for day traders the currency trading systems are more importance, can be considered as Oxygen for existing. Currency day traders cannot can use any software; the software they choose must fulfill all their trading requirements and strategies.

Here are some tips for using a good forex day trading system,
  1. Never look for great profit opportunities – 20 to 25 pipes are better.
  2. Trade currencies according to the trend.
  3. Trade forex currencies having tight spreads.
  4. Use only 1 or 2 technical indicators. Using more can cause disaster.
  5. Always keen to profit from market when ever possible.
  6. Be prepared for loss & be ready to escape with least possible loss.
  7. Always stay in touch with the market and global trends.
If you are a day trader looking for a good forex currency day trading system. It is good to find a forex currency broker who offers tightest spreads for major currencies first and choose from the softwares they offer. May brokers offer free trails for their systems.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Friday, March 2, 2007

What is Bottom-Up Investing?

Bottom-Up investing is a trading approach which contradict bottom-down investing approach. In bottom-up investing approach the trader chooses company stocks based on merits of companies/stocks not of the sectors/industry.

Bottom-up investors believe that a strong company can provide them profit even if the industry is not so bright. They rely up on the company’s management, business model and growth prospects. Bottom-up investors select companies by through fundamental and technical analyses. They focuses one the companies history, its stock price history, services and products offered, financial stability, dividends provided, price-to-earnings ratio, etc.

The basic features of a bottom-up investing approach are fast return from investments, high visibility, high deployment coverage and higher impact to the organization. The advantages include product/service/user awareness, not need extensive searches and analyses, etc. The disadvantages of bottom-up investing are possible failure in assessing companies and unexpected events can affect your earnings.

This information is provided by NobleTrading.com, a worldwide brokerage firm, offering direct access services for online stocks trading, options trading, futures trading, commodities trading and forex trading on a variety of trading software platform.

Thursday, March 1, 2007

What is Top-Down Investing?

Top-down investing is one of the popular investing approaches that many traders follow. In Top-down investment the trader finds suitable investing opportunities by analyzing deep from a big picture or a global view.

The procedure of top-down investing usually involves the following steps.
  1. Assessing of global economy strength
  2. Finding suitable economic regions by eliminating bad ones affected by war, internal tensions and calamities.
  3. More depth-analysis to find suitable countries with bright futures; can be done using analysis inflammation rate, health of stock markets, interest rates, employment, GDP etc.
  4. Find the health of stock market indices using fundamental and technical analysis tools. Important ones are dividend yields, price-to-earnings and price-to-sales.
  5. Find sectors of the country with right investment background. The comparison of growth of each sector (like mining, health care, IT services, technology etc.) with detailed statistics is done in this step.
  6. Finding the suitable companies with good stocks price range of the selected sectors, based on company performance.
Advantages of top-down investing include determination of ideal investment stocks, investigation and finding of market pros and cons, diversification of investment in different markets and different countries, etc. But the analysis procedure consumes time and money and it is possible that the finding may be incorrect. One another disadvantage is the elimination of really good companies form bad/low profit sectors.


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