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Thursday, February 26, 2009

Rising or Inclining Wedge Formation

Wedge formations are one of the difficult formations to identify. They look like symmetrical triangle formation but unlike symmetrical triangle they have strong bullish or bearish bias and have slop. Wedge formations can be trend-reversal or trend-continuation patterns which favor long-term traders, as they usually take 2 to 4 months to form. Note that wedge formations have a high failure rate than others.


Rising wedge formation has a strong bearish bias. They are considered trend-continuation pattern, when formed after a strong downtrend, and trend-reversal pattern, when formed after an uptrend. Both lines of a rising wedge have upward slops, and the lower line is steeper than the upper one. The highs and lows tend to converge to a point and the break out occurs; in most cases downwards. Volume of trades tends to get lower as the pattern forms and the breakout is noticeable with a significant increase in volume.

Rising wedge formations occur when there is high-uncertainty in market and the bulls continuously fail to break the resistance level. The pattern in considered true one if there are two or more reaction highs and lows touching upper resistance and lower support lines. Rising wedge formations are more reliable as trend-continuation formation and traders enter sell orders when the pattern breaks down. Remember, rising wedge formation is considered less reliable when there is no sufficient increase in volume at breakout. The trader should use other indicators to confirm trend changes.

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