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Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow

Concealing baby swallow is a bullish trend-reversal candlestick pattern indicating the start of a new uptrend after a downtrend. It is a four candlestick pattern comprised of all bearish (black or colored) candlesticks. Bullish concealing baby swallow pattern is a highly reliable pattern, where trend reversal occurs because of the extreme bearishness of the trend.


The requirements of a bullish concealing baby swallow pattern include,
  • The market should be characterized by a significant downtrend.
  • The first two days are characterized by bearish marubozu candlesticks without any upper or lower shadows.
  • The third day is a bearish day opening below a gap and is characterized by an inverted hammer formation, the shadow of which trades into the body of the second day candlestick.
  • The fourth day is also a bearish marubozu day which opens a gap above the third candlestick and completely encloses the third day candlestick.

Bullish concealing baby swallow formation occurs when there is a strong bearish sentiment in the market. The bearish marubozu formations of the first two days indicate that the downtrend is strong. But the long upper shadow of the third day candlestick and gap above opening of the fourth day candlestick indicate that the trend is weakening. The fourth day also offers a perfect opportunity for shorts to cover their position. Once that's done, the trend is expected to reverse.

Bullish concealing baby swallow is a highly reliable formation; however, a bullish candlestick with a gap-up or a higher close on the next trading day is necessary for confirmation of the trend.

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